Sunday, November 11, 2007

Bull Everywhere !

Globally almost all asset classes are again touching new highs. Just recently few days ago there were talks of crude oil staying above the $100 per barrel mark. Gold is also heading towards its all time high of $850, last time I checked it was around $830 per ounce. India being the largest consumer of Gold in the world is the major source of the increasing demand for this metal.

The price of gold in India per 10 gram is clearly above Rs. 10,000. The market analysts earlier had predicted that the gold will not touch the 10,000 level because the consumers would move away from gold due to the high price. Infact it was speculated that the gold prices will stay below Rs. 9,700 when the prices were touching the levels of Rs. 9,300.

Another main reason for the increase in the Gold and crude oil is due to depreciation of US dollar. The dollar has weakened in terms of Euro from the June levels of 1.34 to the levels of 1.45 now.


Year on year gold as an investment in India has not done extremely well with returns below 10%. But in the last few months it has made good return of close to 25% to 30%. Infact it makes more sense to invest in the gold overseas in dollar terms particularly in order to best capture the depreciation of dollar. The Gold ETF’s that were recently started in the county were a good example of this. Gold ETF’s have gone up by almost close to 30% in the last six months.

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