Thursday, October 25, 2007

Fortune India 2007: Index

Fortune India 2007

Indian stock market has gone up by close to 30% from the beginning of the year. This upswing in the market has resulted in almost all sectors doing phenomenally well. The growth story is not just applicable to the Large caps but also to the mid caps and the small caps. In this kind of a market picking a portfolio that makes more money than the Fixed deposit rates (close to 10% per an) is not at all difficult, but beating the indexes like Nifty and Sensex would be the thing that fund managers look forward to.

Picking a basket of shares like the Sensex (top 30 shares by market cap) or Nifty (top 50 by market cap) would be the ideal thing to do. But recently I found that that in Prowess database there is a group of companies called to Fortune India list. This list has selected companies as per the fortune rankings. I thought this would be a very good method to pick the top companies in the country and as long as the stock market is doing well this index must also perform better. The companies in the list are as following:



Watchout this space for more analysis to see how sucessful is it to invest in such index.

Monday, October 22, 2007

Reliance: Caution Ahead!

Can u rely of reliance? This is the question many people in the Market are starting to ask. Reliance has always been the stock in limelight, starting from the days of late Dhirubhai Ambani. Then the war between the brothers and excessive marketing made reliance a household name. People started speculating on whether Mukesh Ambani controlled business would be more profitable than ADAG (Anil's Cos) of vice-versa. But it was very shocking to see both brothers doing very well, at least in the stock market.

Fortune Favors the Brave!

Both brothers have consistently featured in the Fortune Magazine list of the richest people in the world. And according to the march 07 figures Mukesh was 12th richest and brother Anil at around 17th. All this changed with the stock market bull run. Now according to times Mukesh is the Fourth richest person in the world with $ 50 billion (Sept figures) just behind Warren Buffet $ 52 billion and Bill gates $ 57 billion and Carlos Slim $ 58 Billion (Aug figures). The combined wealth of the brothers (/family) stands at $ 80 billion, making them the richest family in the world. Amazingly Both brothers achieved this feat (journey beyond $ 1 billion) in only few years after the death of legendary Dhirubhai. Now the challenge for them is to stay in the top spot for a long time, remember Amiz Premji of Wipro, he became 3rd richest and was thrown out of position shortly within months.

Bubble?

I was amazed to see six Reliance companies in the top 10 companies by turnover in the NSE site. When i probed more i found out that earlier this year only two were present in a similar list. (see the chart below or click on the links for more detail on Year ending Mar 07 ; and Sept figures).



The recent surge in Reliance is making me worried about the valuation of these companies and the overall market (bec of high weight age of Reliance in stock market). Just few days ago one of my friend was justifying R Energy's PE of 40! I just couldn't belive that this was a power company. All this makes me believe that Reliance is cooking up something. Or maybe this is just a beginning of another era! This will be the difference between :

Reliance = Rely + alliance and
Reliance = Real + lying + alliance